Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1290.955962 1480.071464 1694.595098 1957.459940 2272.912450 2641.855419 3109.771610
2025-05-25 1029.320319 1274.731951 1581.741857 2000.154654 2565.227757 3316.308611 4415.307027
2025-06-01 895.935583 1160.469989 1511.125714 2021.135599 2763.422873 3836.795621 5570.238687
2025-06-08 791.852437 1063.543851 1441.143459 2021.051482 2921.028944 4322.976052 6801.041130
2025-06-15 726.635009 1007.021957 1413.137642 2067.778598 3144.832996 4943.362336 8412.036588
2025-06-22 645.303945 915.651218 1319.689539 1995.757394 3160.294480 5216.609298 9479.342053
2025-06-29 580.360933 840.564992 1240.259500 1931.582348 3172.671395 5479.540867 10598.537891
2025-07-06 523.587214 771.760952 1162.082604 1856.947528 3150.781998 5669.153023 11618.831031
2025-07-13 503.686028 758.541441 1171.193936 1932.698748 3417.633028 6484.915220 14358.198490
2025-07-20 477.286146 731.908233 1154.471486 1958.709255 3591.418072 7147.021375 16994.368505
2025-07-27 453.952133 707.971483 1139.392784 1984.880318 3769.121810 7861.303063 20096.717529
2025-08-03 431.975493 684.232480 1121.915242 2003.457910 3933.290699 8586.072982 23595.063513
2025-08-10 419.038752 675.752621 1132.370907 2082.093954 4254.114433 9818.647974 29562.287736
2025-08-17 403.789523 661.917411 1131.650056 2138.279244 4537.419574 11054.236171 36481.329814
2025-08-24 385.660522 641.142890 1115.297491 2158.188361 4735.977387 12116.959948 43579.357093
2025-08-31 367.029328 617.885046 1091.756211 2158.911608 4886.411700 13090.480330 51177.015368
2025-09-07 355.245416 606.429795 1090.348784 2209.403923 5180.491264 14642.472069 63301.740070
2025-09-14 331.696927 570.820569 1036.811146 2131.298611 5103.492704 14900.518530 68588.836291
2025-09-21 310.965405 539.287349 989.138381 2061.672705 5038.801411 15189.836102 74490.011150
2025-09-28 290.864235 507.749118 939.086182 1980.781640 4927.577700 15276.586879 79283.008969
2025-10-05 286.614536 507.106344 954.143392 2062.886734 5326.158741 17530.444724 103096.844307
2025-10-12 278.005837 497.125627 948.215922 2091.094543 5564.582684 19248.179225 126135.885452
2025-10-19 269.938590 487.677877 942.614002 2119.483452 5811.627352 21138.195280 155206.535735